Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Sell DLF 220 Call Option

DLF has moved up sharply from the 140 odd levels since the beginning of March 2014 to 180 as on 12th March 2104 mainly due to short covering. Due the sharp up-move in the stock on 11th March on very low delivery volumes and short covering, the IV's in the strike prices of the counters has gone up substantially. One can utilize such high IVs to sell far out of the money call which are adequately safe.

Valuation wise DLF is trading at around 16 times EV to EBIDTA of current financial year which is quite expensive in the context of slowdown in realty sector in India. Also the majority of debt reduction exercise is over which means all the good news in terms of debt reduction is discounted in the price. Technically the stock seems to be highly overbought at current levels and is also up more than 25% since the Feb 2014 closing. Hence there seems to be limited upside (if at all) from current levels. Hence one can sell 220 strike call @ 0.95 or higher which is highly safe as movement towards 220 will imply almost 50% move from the Feb close.

Total Return from the trade:

Considering one is able to sell the March Call option of DLF 220 strike price at current market premium of 0.95 he/she can generate following return from this trade:

Assuming 1 lot of DLF (1 lot = 2000) 220 Call option is sold at Rs 0.90
Total premium collected = 2000 * 0.95 = Rs 1900
Total Transaction cost assuming Brokerage cost including STT and other taxes at Rs. 50 per lot = Rs 50
Margin money required: Rs. 88000 (~20% of total value)
Total return = 1850 / 88000 = 2.1% in 10 trading days.

Risk: Since the above trading strategy is naked call writing, if the stock goes above 220.95 and closes above this level then there will be a loss of Rs.2000 for every Rs.1.00 above 220.95.

No comments:

Post a Comment

15 Stock Investment Tips from Rakesh Jhunjhunwala

1. Always go against tide. Buy when others are selling and sell when others are buying.  2. If you believe in the growth prospects o...