Saturday, March 31, 2012

Options Trading Tutorial: Free Education Video

Options are derivative instruments used for both hedging and speculative purposes. 

By definition an option is a legal contract in which the writer (seller) of the contract grants to the buyer, the right to purchase from or sell to the writer a designated instrument or a scrip at a specified price within a specified period of time. 

The right to purchase a specified stock is called the Call option, while the right to sell a specified stock is called Put option. 

There exist many option strategies (tactics), which involves different combination of Calls and Puts, for hedging as well as speculation. Some of such strategies are Bull Call Spread, Bear Call Spread, Call Backspread, Covered Call, The Collar etc.

The following Options Strategies Course is designed to show how options work as a tool for hedging positions and how they can be used for speculative purposes.

Thursday, March 29, 2012

Century old tax benefits might end for U.S oil companies

American president, Barack Obama, urged congress to abolish $4 billion of annual oil and natural gas subsidies and shift those savings to research on clean-energy fuels. 

Last year, the three biggest U.S. oil companies took home more than $80 billion in profit and they can stand on their own now, said Mr. President. 

Ending such breaks would reduce the deficit by $41 billion over a decade, according to Obama’s budget for fiscal 2013.

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Nalco (National Aluminium Co.) Stake Sale

Govt. of India is looking to sell 10 percent stake in the state run Aluminium producing company NALCO (National Aluminium Company Ltd.) which could fetch the govt. around Rs.1400 crores at the current market price of Rs 55. As part of divestment program the govt. recently concluded auction of ONGC shares and has also launched NBCC IPO. 

Japanese stock markets @ 52 week high

Japan's benchmark index Nikkei hit its highest closing level on Tuesday since a massive earthquake and tsunami triggered a radiation crisis on March 11 last year. The index rose 2.4%, or 236.91 points, to 10,255.15, while the broader Topix index also climbed 2.4% to 872.42.

The Nikkei has surged 21.3% so far this year in 2012 due to robust US economic data and easing programmes by global central banks.

But Japanese equities are still considered undervalued compared with their global peers. The Topix carries a 12-month forward price-to-book ratio of 0.98 compared with the S&P 500's 2.0.

Stock Market in a Nutshell: A Graphical Summary

Stocks and Stock Markets in one view

Friday, March 23, 2012

List of Top Stock Brokers in India

Indian Stock Markets have a come long way in past two decades in terms of governance, simplicity, security and participation. Now investors from all over the world are participating in Indian equities like never before. 

The participation of retail investors, though relatively low when compared to developed worlds, have also gone up significantly since past 20 years, thanks to the increasing income of urban India. Experts believe that equity investments in India should go up substantially higher from the current levels in next 10 years. 

This opportunity has given birth to thousands of stock brokers in India. Many domestic and international banks in India have started offering stock broking and DEMAT services via separate subsidiaries. 

Thursday, March 22, 2012

The Coal Mining Scam in India

After 2G Scam of 2011, the fresh allegation for allocating valuable coal block to hundreds of private miners without auction has hit the UPA govt. even harder. As per leaked CAG report, the government of India has lost up to $210 billion or Rs.10.67 Lakh Crores in revenue by selling coal deposits too cheaply.

Opposition parties reacted with outrage in parliament on Thursday 22nd March 2012 to the report, which was leaked to a newspaper. The session was adjourned and the government said it would respond once it had verified the facts. BJP has demanded a CBI probe into the allotment of coal blocks and monitoring of the probe by a court.

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Crude Oil Cess impact on Oil Companies

Higher international crude prices since the start of 2012 have kept the shares of oil producing companies specially Cairn, ONGC and Oil India, buoyant on the hope of better realization. But budget 2012 brought surprise for these companies and investors. 

The finance minister seemingly wanted a share of the pie. The cess on crude got increased from Rs 2,500 a tonne to Rs 4,500 a tonne. This effectively means a decline of $5 a barrel in crude oil realisation. While this will add Rs 7,500-8,000 crore to the government’s kitty, the cess will negatively impact earnings of companies like ONGC, OIL and Cairn. Deutsche Bank estimated the negative impact on earnings at 15 per cent for Oil India, nine per cent for ONGC and seven per cent for Cairn India.

Sunday, March 18, 2012

Tax Savings on Infrastructure Bonds in India withdrawn in FY 2012 - 2013

In FY 2010 an additional deduction was introduced to encourage investors to save money into infrastructure bonds. Under this new scheme a person could invest upto Rs. 20,000 on which no tax will be imposed. The most important part of the entire action was this was an additional benefit as compared to the Rs 1 lakh investment limit under Section 80C. So in financial year 2010 people were able to save upto RS.1,20,000 without paying any income tax. The bonds had a lock in period of five years.

Friday, March 16, 2012

Income Tax Calculator 2012 - 2013

The personal Income tax slabs have been revised in budget 2012. Though the limits have been raised marginally, there will be more savings for people earning more than 8 lakh per annum.
  • The basic Income tax exemption limit raised to Rs 2 lakh from Rs 1.8 lakh.
  • Rs 2 lakh - 5 lakh taxed at 10%.
  • Rs 5 Lakh - 10 lakh at 20%. Previous year band was 5 lakh  - 8 Lakh.
  • Above Rs 10 lakh taxed at 30%.

Thursday, March 15, 2012

India 2012 - 2013 GDP at 7.6 percent - Economic Survey

The Indian Government's 2102 economic survey has projected the economic growth at about 7.6% in the next fiscal 2012-13, up from 6.9% estimated in 2011-12 on the back of declining inflation and softening interest rate. It expects the economic growth to further improve to 8.6% in 2013-14.

The economic survey suggest that fiscal consolidation is likely to get back on track from 2012-13, when savings and capital formation will also begin to improve.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Indian WPI Inflation for Feb - 2012 at 6.95 Percent

Wholesale Price Index (WPI) went up by 6.95% in February against 6.55% in January because of sharp increase in food prices, especially vegetables and protein-based items.

WPI Inflation in February 2011 was at 9.54%.

Food inflation was 6.07% in February against - 0.52% in January. Food articles have 14.3% share in the WPI basket.

Prices of manufactured items, which has around 65% weight in the WPI index, went up by 5.75% YoY in February, as against 6.49% in the previous month.

Railway Budget - 2012: Highlights

Railway Minister Dinesh Trivedi has presented his first rail budget on 14th March. 

Following are some of the  crucial highlights of the Budget 2012.

  • Recommendation of kakodkar Committee on Saftey to be implemented.

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Market Cap to GDP Ratio: U.S Stock Markets Valuation Technique

Warren Buffett once said that the percentage of total market cap (TMC) to the United States GNP is probably the best measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.

In the past forty years U.S Stock Market history, the TMC to GNP ratio has varied within a very wide range. The ratio was lowest at 0.35 times in the previous deep recession of 1982, while the highest point was 1.48 during the tech bubble in 2000. As a rule of thumb we can broadly divide the market valuation in the five bands based on past records:

Warren Buffett Portfolio Performance History

Berkshire Hathaway performance history (1980 - 2012)

Warren Buffett, the oracle of Omaha, who turned the loss making textile company Berkshire Hathaway into the world's largest holding company, follows the value investing strategy of Benjamin Graham. 

Buffett prefers to acquire great companies trading at a discount to their intrinsic value, and  hold them for a very long time. He only invests in businesses that he understands.  Using simple investing strategies he has outperformed S&P 500 by wide margin. 

Below is the brief snapshot of returns generated by Berkshire Hathaway over 5 years, 10 years and since inception.

Monday, March 12, 2012

Buy Hindalco Industries

InvestorZclub is recommending a buy on dips on Hindalco Industries in the region of Rs.130 to 135 for 1 year target return of at least 30%. Some of strong reasons for the recommendation are:

1. Trading at discount to current year FY 2012 Book Value. The FY-12 book value for the stock is expected to be Rs.165 while FY-13 book value should be at least Rs.175. The PE ratio for the current year is around 12 times.

2. The European subsidiary - Novelis which is cash positive but reports loss on net level is selling its loss making foil business in three countries which could bring it to green next year provided aluminium prices are supportive.

Thursday, March 8, 2012

Impact of China's Economic growth slowdown on India

The Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao recently stated that the government was targeting a growth of 7.5 per cent in 2012. The fears of chinese economic slowdown has been prevailing since past couple of years which is now becoming a reality. 

While there is no hard landing, the world has become accustomed to China growing at 10 percent per annum. So, any slowdown would have global impact. Also, as China is the largest importer of base metals (lead, zinc, aluminium, copper and nickel), the slowdown has made commodities market nervous. Most global commodity stocks like Alcoa, Rio Tinto, Tata Steel, Hindalco are down significantly in past one week or so.

Top 10 richest people in the world - 2012

List of top ten most richest people on Earth

Carlos Slim: Mexican business magnet with networth exceeding $69 billion.

Bill Gates: Networth - $61 billion, founder of Microsoft Corp.

Warren Buffett: $44 billion, founder of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Tuesday, March 6, 2012

Impact of 2012 Assembly Election On Stock Markets

Indian Stock Market witnessed volatile movements in the morning until the clear consensus emerged during noon that SP is going to come in UP with full majority. 

Initially when the markets opened at 9:15 A.M it went up based on a hope that Samajwadi Party might not get full majority and could pull in Congress to form the government in UP. But as the day progressed it became clear that SP would get full majority and won't require congress support. That made the Indian stock Markets very nervous and SENSEX fell more than 550 points from the highs of the day.

So what were the reasons for nervousness and what's the future?

Friday, March 2, 2012

Trading Idea: March 2012

Sell ONGC 320 Call at Rs 1.40 Premium

The recent auction of 5 percent govt's stake in ONGC has given very good trading opportunity. The floor price for the auction was set at Rs. 290 which was 3 percent higher than the 29th Feb closing price. As a result the response from institutional investors was muted and LIC had to step in to bail out the govt. 

Now since the auction is over and it is clearly visible that there is very little demand for the share beyond 290 - 300 levels, one can write 320 call of ONGC March expiry at the current market premium of Rs 1.40

Gordon Gekko Quotes - Wall Street Movie (1987 - 2010)

The iconic character Gordon Gekko played by Michael Douglas, who won Oscar for his role in Oliver Stone's Wall Street, has become so popular that FBI has hired Gordon Gekko aka Michael Douglas for Anti-Insider-Trading PSA

Following are some of the famous quotes by Mr. Gekko taken from his movies "Wall Street Part I & II"

“The mother of evil is speculation.”

“You are the Ninja Generation.  No income.  No job.  No assets.”

Bucks + Steroids = Leverage (Steroid Banking).

Is US Economy Recovering?

Most economists and equity analysts on Wall Street feel that the recovery flight is taking off. But here is the truth.....

Thursday, March 1, 2012

FII Investments in India crosses $7 billion till Feb 2012

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have so far invested more than $7 billion in Indian Stock Markets till Feb 2012. More than $5 billion were pumped in the month of February alone. This is the highest monthly net investment by FIIs in equities since October 2010, where they had infused Rs 28,563 crore.

Market analysts attributed strong FII inflows to signs of an easing monetary policy and the subsequent impact of improved liquidity position. Analysts expects the positive trend to continue further, given that the liquidity conditions remain strong. Strong surge in FII inflows in 2012 so far has helped boost the equity markets which has jumped nearly 15% since January, as also the rupee.

15 Stock Investment Tips from Rakesh Jhunjhunwala

1. Always go against tide. Buy when others are selling and sell when others are buying.  2. If you believe in the growth prospects o...